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Bitcoin Holds $75K After the Fed — Is $80K Next?

Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) experienced sharp volatility after the Federal Funds Rate was released at 4.00%, in line with expectations, followed by remarks from Kevin Warsh. Unlike gold and U.S. stock indices—particularly the S&P 500—Bitcoin has so far managed to hold inside its Support Zone and avoid a similarly sharp decline. Can BTC defend $75,000 and turn this relative strength into another move toward $80,000? Macro Outlook Nearly $1 billion in long positions could be liquidated around $74,860, making this an important downside liquidity area to monitor. Bitcoin could also remain sensitive to developments in the Middle East, movements in the S&P 500, and gold price action. Technical Analysis Bitcoin is currently trading inside the Support Zone and near Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($74,680-$73,800). A valid Golden Cross has also formed between the 50_SMA(Daily) and 200_SMA(Daily), which could support the broader bullish structure. 💡 Educational Note: A Golden Cross forms when a shorter-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average and is generally considered a bullish trend signal, although price confirmation remains important. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin’s structure over the past 12 days appears more corrective than impulsively bearish, suggesting that another bullish move could develop. I expect Bitcoin to move higher over the coming hours. If BTC breaks above the key trading level of $77,280, further upside could develop toward $78,370 and eventually the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage. As long as Bitcoin remains above $73,500, the bullish scenario remains valid. Trade Setup First Take Profit(TP): $76,990 Second Take Profit(TP): $78,370 Third Take Profit(TP): Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($80,700-$79,800) Stop Loss(SL): $73,500(Worst) Key Trading Level: $77,280 New CME Gap: $79,270-$79,110 Do you think Bitcoin can hold above $75,000? 🟢 Yes 🔴 No 📌 Bitcoin Analysis(BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. 🛑 Always use proper risk management and set a Stop Loss(SL) for every position. 🚀 If this analysis helps your trading plan, a BOOST would help more traders discover it.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

FOMC: What’s Next for Bitcoin?

Hello everyone!☀️ Today, September 16, the main event is the FOMC meeting (US Federal Reserve), with the interest-rate decision being released today 🧨🧨🧨 The probability of a 25 bps rate hike has sharply increased to around 92% according to CME FedWatch. And here is an important nuance going into the Fed decision ❗️ Even before the rate decision, we have already been dragged from $79,590 to $74,880, breaking through the very important $76K level. So by the time we get to the FOMC, the market is already heavily repositioned to the downside 🐻 Therefore, if the Fed delivers exactly what is already almost fully priced in — +25 bps — BTC could see a relief move even with a rate hike. Because the question is no longer just “Will they hike?”, but rather what they say about further rate hikes and the Dot Plot. Reuters has also pointed out that the market is particularly focused on the Fed’s forward guidance. Let’s try to connect this event to the chart and map out the possible scenarios. 🟢🦬🚀Bullish scenario. If $75K + the 4H EMA 200 hold the price before the meeting and BTC reclaims $76K, then the wicks we saw yesterday during the US session and today at the Asian open could turn out to be exactly the liquidity sweep I was referring to earlier: «…we could potentially collect some decent liquidity — at $76,219 and $75,538, respectively.» In other words, this could simply be a shakeout of weak hands ahead of the event. For the bullish scenario to gain strength, I would then want to see BTC reclaim and consolidate above the midpoint of the trading range at $78K. 🔴🐻🪓Bearish scenario. If $75K + the 4H EMA 200 break before the meeting, the structure becomes significantly weaker, and the chart will likely react much more sharply to every word coming from the Fed. 🔴🔴🐻🪓🔪⚰️Bearish x2 scenario $75K + 4H EMA 200 break directly during FOMC + a hawkish Fed. In this case, $73,300 comes into play. Let’s see what the Fed brings us. Peace 🌄✊🏼 ⚠️ Disclaimer: All information shared on this channel is for educational and informational purposes only and is not investment advice. The author is not responsible for your trading decisions. Always manage your risks and make decisions independently.

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept