Polymarket Hires Coinbase's Failed Social-Coin Architect
Polymarket hired Zora founder Jacob Horne to rebuild its onchain product as Kalshi powers Coinbase's US prediction markets.
Polymarket hired Zora founder Jacob Horne to rebuild its onchain product as Kalshi powers Coinbase's US prediction markets.

The self-custody app also plugs into Stripe, Kalshi, and Morpho, with World ID verification unlocking boosted rewards.

The Senate prediction market gives Democrats a narrow edge, with Polymarket at 59% and Kalshi near 55% amid rising gas prices and a volatile map.

Kalshi now moves $40B+ in monthly volume while handling roughly 80% of U.S. prediction market volume. The figures lie in stark contrast to recent developments, the most pertinent being the Senate’s decision to quash the highly awaited crypto market structure bill, à la CLARITY. A Regulated Winner on a Losing Night Bitcoin historian Pete Rizzo […]

A Citizens JMP note published Monday found Kalshi priced NFL Week 1 cheaper than Draftkings and Fanduel. Its figures show the edge comes entirely from over/under markets: on game outcomes, Fanduel is cheaper. The comparison also sits before Kalshi’s transaction fee, which the same note puts at 1.6% to 1.8% per 100 contracts. An Edge […]

The removal of Kalshi's AI-compute futures highlights regulatory challenges in financializing AI infrastructure, impacting market innovation.

Polymarket's rapid market share gain suggests increased competition and innovation in the US sports prediction market, challenging incumbents.

Federal Reserve hike odds reached 81.3% after August CPI, while Kalshi and Polymarket recorded $192.6 million in combined volume before the Fed decision.

Federal Reserve hike odds sit at 79% on Polymarket, but the Fed’s September message may matter more than the 25-basis-point move.

Kalshi's move could reshape financial markets by merging crypto innovations with traditional equities, potentially altering trading dynamics.

Cantor Fitzgerald's partnership with Kalshi could transform prediction markets into a mainstream asset class, attracting significant institutional investment.

ESMA also asks why Kalshi and Polymarket block some EU countries but not others, and notes VPNs get around the blocks.

A CPI above 3.3% could pressure the Fed to reconsider rate hikes, impacting rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and utilities.

ESMA says major prediction platforms lack EU authorization, while questioning Polymarket and Kalshi's geographic restrictions.

Kalshi settles bets with a rulebook and a person applying it. Polymarket settles them with a token-holder vote. World settles them with a data feed, no panel, no dispute window, nobody to call. Three live models now, and each one fails differently.

Riot Games has discussed potential esports sponsorship agreements with prediction market operators Kalshi and Polymarket as the League of Legends World Championship approaches in October. Bloomberg reported on Sept. 11, citing people familiar with the private talks, that the Tencent-owned…

Kalshi plans to seek U.S. approval for 60 stock and ETF perpetual futures as regulators dispute how equity-linked perps should be governed.


ESMA classifies prediction market contracts as derivatives, triggering the EU's binary options ban and threatening Polymarket and Kalshi's
