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LINKUSDT: Recovery Tests a Key H1 Breakout Zone

📰 News Analysis: Bottomline’s Global Pay Connect and its strategic collaboration with Chainlink support the long-term institutional narrative. However, the initiative is still focused on exploring proof-of-concept opportunities, not confirmed production adoption or transaction volume. 📊 Technical Analysis: LINK has recovered from the $10.66 support and is now testing the $11.37–$11.43 resistance area, where a descending trendline and higher-timeframe moving averages converge. RSI and MACD show improved short-term momentum, but price has not yet confirmed a breakout. The key is an H1 close above resistance—not the news headline alone. 🎯 Conditional Long Setup: Direction: Long only after a confirmed H1 close above $11.43, followed by a successful retest. Target 1: $11.83 Target 2: $12.22 A rejection from the current zone and an H1 close below $11.20 invalidates the bullish scenario. ⚠️ Not financial advice.

TITradingView Ideas12h ago

Why a Failed Senate Vote Wiped Out $500M in Crypto

A single failed Senate vote this week wiped nearly 4% of the entire crypto market's value , and over 500 million dollars in forced liquidations across the market in the hours that followed. Bitcoin fell. Ethereum fell. Chainlink, Aave, Bitcoin Cash, Aptos, Ethena- every major name fell, most of them with no company-specific news of their own at all. This wasn't a hack, scandal, or technical failure - this was a legislative procedure vote that didn't pass. This article goes over exactly what happened, why leverage turns a political disappointment into a violent marketwide selloff , and why some coins fell far harder than others during the event. What actually happened The Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act , a bill meant to set clearer regulatory rules for the crypto industry here in the US. Crypto markets had priced in progress toward this legislation, since regulatory clarity has been one of the biggest overhangs preventing broader institutional adoption for years. When the vote failed to advance the bill forward, that progress did not materialize, and the market reacted quickly. At the same time, rising odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike were already weighing on risk assets across the board. These two things - a disappointing regulatory outcome and rising expectations of tighter monetary policy - came together to form a single, sharp, risk-off move for the entire crypto market simultaneously. Why a bill not passing crashes coins that have nothing to do with the bill It's easy to confuse new traders as to why this happened. Chainlink, Aave, and Bitcoin Cash have entirely different use cases, teams, and fundamentals. None of them are directly regulated or affected by this specific legislation any more than any other token, but they all fell together, and several fell by more than Bitcoin did. This happens because crypto assets become highly correlated during a risk-off event . During such a move, traders and funds don't sell their disappointing bet and keep holding everything else in their portfolios steady. They reduce risk broadly across their entire portfolio , because the source of the fear - a regulatory uncertainty or a macro tightening expectation - applies to the asset class itself, and not to any coin's specific fundamentals. https://www.tradingview.com/x/bbQAXcS8/ Why leverage turns a dip into a $500 million cascade This is where the real damage multiplies. A large amount of crypto trading happens through leverage - that is, traders borrowing money to control a position bigger than their capital in order to magnify their gains. This works well while their prices march higher, but as soon as their prices start to fall by even a modest amount, the exchanges forcibly close, or liquidate, these leveraged positions to prevent the trader's losses from going beyond what they actually put up. As prices began to fall from the failed vote, leveraged long positions across many coins hit their liquidation thresholds. Exchanges automatically sold those positions into a falling market, which further pushed prices down, and then triggered the next layer of liquidations at a slightly lower price, and so on. This is how a single piece of news, one that might have caused a modest orderly pullback on its own, ended up resulting in over 500 million dollars of forced selling within a matter of hours , none of it a voluntary action by the traders involved. Why some coins fell so much harder than others Looking at the actual figures during the event, Aave fell over 6% , Aptos fell nearly 8% , Bittensor fell nearly 8% , and Bitcoin - the largest, most stable crypto asset - fell by a noticeably smaller percentage. This is because of something called beta , a measure of how much an asset tends to move compared to the broader market during a given event. Smaller, more speculative altcoins tend to carry higher beta than Bitcoin - that is, they tend to magnify any move the broader crypto market makes, in both directions. During a risk-off event like this, this higher beta works against the holders of these tokens, turning a moderate market-wide decline into a much sharper drop for these specific tokens. One analysis of Ethena's drop during this particular event specifically noted that the higher beta that Ethena typically has amplified what was a broad, macro-driven move, not something specific to the project. https://www.tradingview.com/x/D09OBE0t/ The bigger pattern worth understanding This is a signature you'll see repeatedly in crypto. A macro/regulatory headline hits . Broad, correlated selling begins across the entire asset class. Leveraged positions get forcibly closed , accelerating the initial move far beyond what the news itself would justify. Higher beta, more speculative tokens fall hardest , and larger, more established assets fall by comparison less, even though everything falls together. Recognizing this signature is important because it tells you that a sharp, broad selloff like this one isn't necessarily a judgment on any given individual project's fundamentals. It's often a mechanically-driven reaction to a single piece of news that happens to have occurred at a time when a large amount of leverage was sitting in the market. How to actually think about this as a trader Check if a crypto selloff is broad-based across unrelated tokens or concentrated in one coin, because a broad, correlated move implies a macro/regulatory trigger amplified by leverage, and not project-specific bad news. Pay attention to overall market leverage levels - sometimes visible around open interest and funding rates - because elevated leverage leading up to a known event can increase the odds that a disappointing outcome gets amplified into a much larger cascade than the news alone would justify. Remember that higher-beta altcoins will almost always move more than Bitcoin during both broad rallies and selloffs, so if you're holding small altcoins through a known event risk, you are essentially accepting amplified moves in both directions. Watch for the immediate aftermath of a liquidation cascade rather than only the initial drop, because these events can cause sharp, temporary overshoots to the downside as forced selling clears out, followed by a partial recovery once the leveraged positions causing the extra selling pressure have already been liquidated. My Conclusion A failed vote in Washington wiped out half a billion dollars in crypto positions within hours , and most of the coins' falls in the selloff had absolutely nothing to do with the bill itself. This is the nature of a leveraged, highly correlated market - a single piece of disappointing news doesn't just move the asset it's actually about, but it can cause a mechanical cascade across an entire asset class , hitting hardest wherever the most leverage and highest beta happen to be. Thank you @VertexQore

TITradingView Ideas16 Sept

Chainlink Tests Support — Can Buyers Step In?

Key Support Under Test LINK has followed the wider market lower and is now testing an important support area around $10.87. This level previously acted as resistance before the recent breakout. Trend Still Favours the Bulls Despite the pullback, price remains above the bullishly crossed 100/50-day EMAs, with both averages continuing to slope higher. The broader daily structure therefore remains constructive. Momentum Has Cooled RSI has fallen back towards the 50 level, while StochRSI is now oversold. This shows how much short-term momentum has cooled during the pullback. Volume Needs Watching Buying volume has decreased as price has moved back towards support. A noticeable pickup in buying from this area would give bulls more confidence that the pullback is running out of steam. Recent Highs Remain in Play If buyers can defend the current support zone, there is relatively little obvious resistance before the recent $13.69 swing high. Lose this area decisively, however, and the next meaningful support sits around $8.92. In Summary LINK has reached an important test around $10.87 after pulling back from its recent highs. The bullishly crossed and rising 100/50-day EMAs keep the broader picture constructive, but buyers now need to defend support. StochRSI is oversold, although buying volume has been declining. If support holds and demand returns, the $13.69 high could come back into play; a decisive breakdown would instead shift attention towards $8.92.

TITradingView Ideas15 Sept

LINK Analysis: Higher-Timeframe Support in Focus

LINK price action is currently bouncing from a higher-timeframe support region around $11.12. This level is particularly important as it also aligns with dynamic support, creating a confluence that could help define the next directional move. The current reaction from this area may develop into an equilibrium formation, where price consolidates between nearby support and resistance before establishing clearer direction. For the bullish scenario, continued acceptance above $11.12 would keep the possibility of a recovery in play. The primary upside reference is the Fibonacci extension target around $14.68, which could act as an area of interest if momentum develops. However, the setup remains conditional rather than confirmed. If LINK fails to maintain the $11.12 support and begins closing below this region, it would weaken the current bullish structure. A sustained loss of support could increase the probability of a bearish rotation and potentially expose lower levels. For now, $11.12 remains the key level to monitor. Holding above it would keep the bounce scenario technically valid, while a confirmed breakdown would shift the focus toward downside continuation. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- UK residents: Don't invest unless you're prepared to lose all the money you invest. This is a high-risk investment and you should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. Take 2 mins to learn more: coinjar.com/uk/risk-summary The article is an opinion expressed by the author at a point in time and does not represent the views of CoinJar UK Limited or CoinJar Australia Pty Ltd. Take care to consider the date of this article and be aware that this opinion is based on circumstances at the time of publishing. No responsibility or liability is accepted for any errors of fact or omission expressed therein. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. This above article is not to be read as investment, legal or tax advice and it takes no account of particular personal or market circumstances; all readers should seek independent investment advice before investing in cryptocurrencies. We recommend you obtain financial advice before making a decision to use your credit card to purchase cryptoassets or to invest in cryptoassets.In the UK, it's legal to buy, hold, and trade crypto, however cryptocurrency is not regulated in the UK. It's vital to understand that once your money is in the crypto ecosystem, there are no rules to protect it, unlike with regular investments. You should not expect to be protected if something goes wrong. So, if you make any crypto-related investments, you're unlikely to have recourse to the Financial Services Compensation Scheme (FSCS) or the Financial Ombudsman Service (FOS) if something goes wrong. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EU residents: Warning: If you invest in this product, you may lose some, or all, of the money you invest. The value of crypto-assets may rise or fall rapidly. Past performance is not indicative of future results. To learn more see our Risk Disclosures. CoinJar Europe Limited is authorised by the Central Bank of Ireland as a crypto-asset service provider (registration number C496731) ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TITradingView Ideas14 Sept